After 24 Games Played, Supercomputer Predicts Where Every Club Will Finish In The 2023/24 Premier League Table

After reaching 24 games this campaign, the statisticians at Opta have given their latest update on the predicted final league standings.

The analysts simulate 1000s of matches to calculate the positions of all 20 teams come the final game in May.

As we are now nearly two-thirds of the way through the season, supporters will be keen to discover where their team could finish.

Press the next page as we go through the final predicted Premier League table for the 2023/24 campaign (as of 15th February 2024).

The 3 relegated teams

20th: Sheffield United
19th: Burnley
18th: Luton Town

Despite their victory over Luton Town last weekend, Opta are almost certain that Sheffield United can’t escape the drop.

They have given the Blades a 58.7% chance of finishing bottom of the table. The fact that Chris Wilder’s side are still 7 points off safety after 24 matches, having played a game more, suggests they may well be right.

Burnley look likely to go straight back down with them, but the third promoted side, Luton, seem to have the best shot of getting out of trouble.

Even so, Opta believe that, despite battling bravely, the Hatters will ultimately suffer relegation.

Narrowly missing out on the drop

17th: Nottingham Forest
16th: Everton
15th: Crystal Palace
14th: Brentford

Everton are actually 18th at the moment but Opta’s supercomputer is currently backing them to move up the table.

The Toffees’ recent form doesn’t inspire confidence, though, with Sean Dyche’s team having last won a league game in mid-December.

Palace are in freefall and it looks like they will change their manager pretty soon. However, Opta predict that the Eagles will stay clear of trouble.

Brentford got themselves a very important win against Wolves last weekend and they seem set for a mid-table finish.

Mid-table mediocrity

13th: Fulham
12th: Bournemouth
11th: Wolverhampton Wanderers
10th: Chelsea

Fulham, Bournemouth and Wolves have all been hovering around the same position in the table for quite some time.

However, the Cherries are going through a dip in form, which could see them being dragged back into the fight at the bottom.

For now, Opta’s prediction suggests that Andoni Iraola’s side will stay safe.

Despite all the money they have spent, Chelsea look destined to finish below the European places for a second season in a row. They do, however, face Liverpool in the Carabao Cup final later this month, which could see them qualify for the Europa Conference League.

Top 10 competitors

9th: West Ham United
8th: Brighton & Hove Albion
7th: Newcastle United
6th: Manchester United

Manchester United appear to have discovered some form out of nowhere.

Erik ten Hag’s team are still not playing particularly well but they are managing to secure important results, as they did against Aston Villa last weekend.

Brighton and Newcastle have been rather inconsistent in recent weeks so they are not expected to trouble the top six.

West Ham, meanwhile, are not in good form, and it has prompted questions about the future of manager David Moyes.

Champions League qualification

5th: Aston Villa
4th: Tottenham Hotspur
3rd: Arsenal
2nd: Liverpool
1st: Manchester City

With the Cityzens having won their last six league games, Opta are more confident than ever that the reigning champions will finish top of the table once again.

They claim that there is a 66.2% chance of Pep Guardiola’s side finishing first, with Liverpool’s odds at 24.2% and Arsenal’s at 9.4%.

Despite there being just a two-point difference between the 3 teams, the stat boffins have made City firm favourites.

In terms of the rest of the top 5, Aston Villa’s poor recent form means they have dropped down to 5th in the predicted final standings.

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