After 28 Games Played, Supercomputer Predicts Where Every Club Will Finish In The 2023/24 Premier League Table

David Tully

2 months ago

Categories: Galleries, Manchester City News

Tags: Arsenal, aston villa, Brentford, Brighton, Chelsea, Everton, Fulham, Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United, Newcastle United, Sheffield United, Southampton, spurs, Tottenham Hotspur, West Ham, wolves

As most clubs have now played 28 games, we thought it would be a good time to look at the latest final standings predicted by Opta.

The stat boffins run 1000s of simulated matches to work out the positions of every team at the end of the season.

With just 10 fixtures remaining, fans will be interested to find out where their club could finish.

Press the next page as we take a look at the predicted final table for the 2023/24 Premier League campaign (as of 14th March 2024).

The 3 relegated teams

20th: Sheffield United
19th: Burnley
18th: Luton Town

The dye has been cast for a while in terms of who Opta believe will be in the bottom three.

Two of the promoted teams Sheffield United and Burnley have struggled to keep their heads above water all season and their relegation is expected to be confirmed sooner rather than later.

Luton have put up more of a fight but the defeats are mounting up, with the latest being their devastating loss to Bournemouth midweek; losing after being 3-0 up.

All is not lost for the Hatters but they will likely need one of the clubs above them in the table to go through a really bad run of form.

Narrowly missing out on the drop

17th: Nottingham Forest
16th: Everton
15th: Crystal Palace
14th: Brentford

All four of these teams are not playing with a great deal of confidence at the moment.

In the last five games collectively, only Forest have managed to get a win, which does give Luton some hope that they can still avoid the drop.

Everton have had their 10-point reduction cut to 6 points on appeal but there is still a cloud over the club.

Both the Toffees and Forest have been charged with further breaches of the Premier League’s Profit and Sustainability Rules and an announcement will be made about potential punishments before the end of the campaign.

Mid-table mediocrity

13th: Bournemouth
12th: Fulham
11th: Brighton & Hove Albion
10th: Wolverhampton Wanderers

Bournemouth’s victory over Luton means they have almost guaranteed top-flight football for another year.

Both Fulham and Wolves have picked up three wins in their last five games, consolidating their positions in mid-table.

However, Brighton have dropped out of the top 10 in Opta’s final standings prediction.

The Seagulls have been rather inconsistent this season, and they may struggle to repeat last year’s highest-ever finish.

Top 10 competitors

9th: West Ham United
8th: Chelsea
7th: Newcastle United
6th: Manchester United

Chelsea appear to be finding some form at the right time in the season. Their win over Newcastle on Monday has moved them into touching distance of the European places.

With a game in hand over teams above them in the table as well, a top-half finish is looking more realistic.

West Ham have seen some improvement in results, although they did draw at home to Burnley last time out.

Manchester United, meanwhile, continue to look unconvincing, despite beating Everton. Erik ten Hag’s future as manager remains in doubt.

Champions League qualification

5th: Aston Villa
4th: Tottenham Hotspur
3rd: Arsenal
2nd: Liverpool
1st: Manchester City

Things are getting tighter at the top of the table, with just one point separating three teams.

Opta still favours Manchester City for the title with a 45.8% chance of finishing first, but that percentage has dropped from 66.2% in the last four games.

In contrast, Liverpool’s odds have increased from 24.2% to 34.7% while Arsenal are right back in the race (up to 19.5% from 9.4%).

Tottenham are being backed to overhaul Aston Villa in fourth, and their odds were shortened after their 4-0 win at Villa Park last weekend.