We are 8 games into the season and the Premier League table is beginning to take shape.

Of course, in any sport, there is an element of luck in terms of how results come about. A team can be second-best for most of the 90 minutes and still secure the 3 points. For that reason, it can be interesting to see how the table would look if the points always went to the best team (statistically speaking).

We can work out the expected points (xPts) for each club by looking at the xG score from each match. That can then be used to determine the expected result (win, draw or loss).

Press the next page as we count down the Premier League’s top 5 based on xG this season (figures from Understat.com)