5) Tottenham (down from 1st) – 15.16 xPts
Ange Postecoglou’s side are nearly 5 points better off in the actual Premier League table than they should be based on their xG results.
It means Spurs’s position at the top has relied on them being more clinical than their opponents in front of goal, whilst also riding their luck slightly in terms of the goals they’ve conceded.
Based on their current performance level, it would be a surprise if they are challenging for the title come May.
However, there is no doubt that Champions League qualification is a very realistic possibility.