After 12 Games Played, Supercomputer Predicts Where Every Club Will Finish In The 2023/24 Premier League Table

David Tully

6 months ago

Categories: Galleries, Manchester City News

Tags: Arsenal, aston villa, Brentford, Brighton, Chelsea, Everton, Fulham, Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United, Newcastle United, Sheffield United, Southampton, spurs, West Ham, wolves

We are 12 games into the Premier League season and the statisticians at Opta have given a new update on the predicted final standings.

Their supercomputer runs 1000s of simulations on fixtures between now and the end of the campaign to work out the probability of a club’s final league position.

We are now close to a third of the way through the season and fans will be intrigued to find out where their team could finish.

Press the next page as we go through Opta’s predicted final Premier League table for the 2023/24 campaign (as of 16th November 2023).

The 3 relegated teams

20th: Burnley
19th: Sheffield United
18th: Luton Town

It’s not looking good for Vincent Kompany and his Burnley team. They have not secured a single point at home, and they have conceded 30 times.

Things are not much better for Sheffield United but their form has picked up in recent weeks, with a win and a draw in their last two fixtures.

Luton nearly caused an upset against Liverpool but they ultimately had to settle for a draw. They also worked tirelessly against United last weekend but they slumped to their eighth defeat of the season. All three promoted sides look poised to go straight back down at the moment.

Narrowly missing out on the drop

17th: Bournemouth
16th: Nottingham Forest
15th: Everton
14th: Fulham

Results have begun to improve for Andoni Iraola and his Bournemouth team. They were deserving winners against Newcastle last time out and they will be looking to use it as a springboard for better results after the international break.

Forest continue to be rather consistent, with an excellent win over Aston Villa followed up by a narrow away defeat to West Ham.

Everton are picking up some momentum under the management of Sean Dyche, having won three of their last five matches, but Fulham are dropping like a stone, with just one point in their last four fixtures.

Mid-table mediocrity

13th: Wolverhampton Wanderers
12th: Crystal Palace
11th: Brentford
10th: Chelsea

Wolves got off to a difficult start to the season but their recent form has shifted their predicted final position, with a mid-table finish now on the cards.

Palace have been picking up fewer results recently but Roy Hodgson’s side are not expected to get into trouble, while Brentford’s recent upturn in form will delight manager Thomas Frank.

Despite some positive results against Tottenham and Manchester City in their last two matches, Opta still believe that Chelsea will remain outside of the European places until the end of the campaign.

Top 10 competitors

9th: West Ham United
8th: Brighton & Hove Albion
7th: Manchester United
6th: Newcastle United

West Ham’s positive start to the season has tailed off, but they did get an important win against Forest last time out after suffering three consecutive defeats before that game.

Brighton can’t buy a win at the moment but they are expected to stay in the top half, along with Manchester United, who have picked up some points in recent matches without playing that well.

Injuries and Champions League football have taken their toll on Newcastle and it now seems unlikely that they will finish in the top 4 for a second season in a row.

Champions League qualification

5th: Aston Villa
4th: Tottenham Hotspur
3rd: Arsenal
2nd: Liverpool
1st: Manchester City

Despite a shock loss to Nottingham Forest, Villa are still managing to keep pace with those at the top of the table. Unai Emery’s side have been extremely good at home but they have some tough tests coming up against Tottenham and City.

Spurs have lost their unbeaten record, with the Chelsea defeat followed by a last-minute loss to Wolves.

Liverpool and Arsenal’s victories last weekend have closed the gap on City, who could only manage a draw at Chelsea. However, Opta believe that the Premier League champions still have an 84.6% chance of finishing top again this campaign.